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Expected Value (EV)

In poker, "Expected Value" (EV) is a concept used to measure the profitability of decisions over the long run. It's a statistical measure of the average amount a certain play will win or lose.

What is Expected Value in Poker?

In poker, Expected Value (often abbreviated as EV) is a fundamental concept used to evaluate the potential profitability of decisions over the long run. This term is relevant across all poker variants, including Texas Hold'em, Omaha, and others, and applies to both cash games and tournaments.

Expected Value isn't about individual results or hands; instead, it's a statistical measure of how much a player can expect to win or lose on average over time if they made the same decision in the same situation repeatedly.

Examples of Expected Value in Poker

Here are some scenarios to illustrate the concept of Expected Value in poker:
In a Texas Hold'em game, you have the opportunity to call a $20 bet to win a $100 pot. If you believe your chances of winning the hand are greater than 20%, your call has a positive expected value.

In an Omaha tournament, you're facing a large all-in bet. If you believe your hand is a significant underdog against your opponent's range of hands, calling the bet would have a negative expected value.

  • "By calculating the expected value, she realized that calling the bet would be profitable in the long run."
  • "Despite losing the hand, his decision to call had a positive expected value and was the correct play statistically."
  • "Understanding expected value is key to making profitable decisions in poker."

Expected Value in Poker FAQs

What is Expected Value (EV) in poker?

Expected Value (EV) in poker is a statistical measure of the average amount a certain decision will win or lose over the long run.

How is Expected Value calculated in poker?

Expected Value is calculated by multiplying each possible outcome by the likelihood of that outcome occurring, then adding up those results.

What is the difference between Positive Expected Value (+EV) and Negative Expected Value (-EV)?

Positive Expected Value (+EV) refers to a bet that will earn money over the long run, while Negative Expected Value (-EV) refers to a bet that will lose money over the long run.

How can Expected Value help improve my poker game?

Understanding Expected Value can help you make more profitable decisions in poker. By considering the potential long-term results of your decisions, you can choose the most profitable plays.

Can Expected Value be used in all poker games?

Yes, the concept of Expected Value can be applied in all forms of poker, including Texas Hold'em, Omaha, Stud, Draw games, and others.

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